Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1095.612762 1256.958805 1441.769867 1670.877174 1949.715613 2281.240060 2.710031e+03
2024-12-29 873.904958 1081.510561 1344.815462 1710.388836 2216.595580 2911.491422 3.972574e+03
2025-01-05 725.259028 937.628467 1223.620807 1649.275117 2289.602313 3258.426034 4.926048e+03
2025-01-12 625.595719 835.828539 1132.206619 1598.058006 2347.553622 3578.402940 5.934120e+03
2025-01-19 549.153225 752.957609 1050.942505 1540.598100 2373.892970 3842.704449 6.936225e+03
2025-01-26 518.629125 731.119758 1054.309692 1612.103310 2623.722823 4560.860061 9.148745e+03
2025-02-02 486.302280 701.680509 1040.387878 1650.279825 2820.522435 5238.037745 1.164838e+04
2025-02-09 455.180698 670.034726 1017.842216 1667.986125 2980.545139 5890.385056 1.450570e+04
2025-02-16 423.374331 633.652723 982.404199 1655.369747 3075.256198 6427.538375 1.742878e+04
2025-02-23 405.634571 618.349020 980.789017 1705.744600 3315.070718 7409.133077 2.268312e+04
2025-03-02 390.755076 606.169580 982.835411 1763.079004 3585.001318 8589.308958 3.005302e+04
2025-03-09 372.629511 586.555132 968.852805 1784.765110 3775.712541 9633.693176 3.831922e+04
2025-03-16 351.166337 560.041408 940.704088 1775.543625 3897.597651 10564.878556 4.788648e+04
2025-03-23 337.100702 545.704711 934.547742 1814.814284 4163.519864 12160.178373 6.546852e+04
2025-03-30 313.326725 511.568993 885.917145 1749.124915 4119.172228 12591.107570 7.579158e+04
2025-04-06 292.976194 482.272191 844.209052 1693.831652 4092.971574 13097.128659 8.869009e+04
2025-04-13 273.873579 453.990041 802.075185 1631.878849 4033.182506 13444.909609 1.016693e+05
2025-04-20 269.297506 452.901616 815.689626 1708.985609 4432.680959 16173.781503 1.590717e+05
2025-04-27 261.748424 445.440651 815.094409 1750.185391 4730.899378 18706.112609 2.384822e+05
2025-05-04 252.915434 434.781596 806.552119 1769.301418 4961.174416 21120.940973 3.507158e+05
2025-05-11 242.231138 419.696769 786.941886 1755.680071 5069.813397 22942.145099 4.845048e+05
2025-05-18 237.229390 415.688842 791.569747 1810.081889 5460.141428 27139.553218 8.701966e+05
2025-05-25 232.924498 412.767762 798.343748 1872.045486 5909.676385 32528.379545 1.789287e+06